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Will your Black Friday discount lose money? A simple margin check

A discount that looks generous can quietly wipe out your profit once shipping and fees come off. It takes five minutes to check each offer.

The formula

Profit per unit = price − unit cost − shipping and packing − payment fees

Payment fees are usually a percentage of the price plus a fixed amount per order. Use your own rates from your payment provider.

A worked example

These figures are made up to show the maths. Price €40, unit cost €14, shipping and packing €6, payment fees 2.9% + €0.30.

Full price25% off40% off
Sale price€40.00€30.00€24.00
Unit cost€14.00€14.00€14.00
Shipping and packing€6.00€6.00€6.00
Payment fees€1.46€1.17€1.00
Profit per unit€18.54€8.83€3.00
Units needed to earn the same1about 2.1about 6.2

In this example, 25% off means selling about twice as many units just to stand still. At 40% off you would need more than six times as many. The break-even price, where profit hits zero, is about €20.91.

Free template: offer margin check

OfferPriceDiscount %Sale priceUnit costShipping and packingFeesProfit per unit

Spreadsheet formulas

CellWhatFormula
B1Priceyour number
B2Unit costyour number
B3Shipping and packingyour number
B4Fee %for example 2.9%
B5Fixed feefor example 0.30
B6Discount %for example 25%
B7Sale price=B1*(1-B6)
B8Profit at full price=B1-B2-B3-B1*B4-B5
B9Profit on sale=B7-B2-B3-B7*B4-B5
B10Units needed to earn the same=B8/B9

This is a planning check using your own numbers. It does not predict sales.